📝 Recap: What is the SFM?
📊 Inspired by the financial literature on #assetpricing and #performance attribution, the SFM is a Bayesian regression model for player #skill evaluation. By its current – and original – design, the model predicts a #football (#soccer) player’s probability of scoring a certain number of goals in his team’s upcoming match.
What can you find on the Website?
👉 Real-time and historical scoring probabilities for hundreds of strikers in Europe’s top leagues.
👉 Upon popular request we have now added #ligue1 to the stack of originally covered leagues: #premierleague, #bundesliga, #seriea, #laliga.
Updated Weekly
⏰ The website will be updated every Tuesday throughout the regular football season with the latest predictions for each league’s upcoming matchday.
Future Outlook
🚧 The project is ongoing work in progress, and we might add additional features – and eventually models – in the future.
📝 We’re grateful for any type of suggestions, request, or inquiries. Feel free to reach out directly, or via the contact form on the website.
SFM Resources
Link to the Paper: Unveiling True Talent.
The Dashboard on Skill- & Performance-Above-Replacement.
#socceranalytics #pymc #sportsanalytics #bayesian #statistics #soccer #football #prediction #forecasting #sfm #factormodels #alpha