For Fantasy Premier League
Who scores this gameweek?
The Soccer Factor Model's captaincy board for Gameweek 5: each player's chance to score, with an honest 90% range.
Heard us on FPL BlackBox? Welcome — this is the board behind the card.
Captaincy board · Gameweek 5
Forecasts frozen before kick-off
Manchester City
v
Sunderland
(H)
Manchester City
v
Sunderland
(H)
Liverpool
v
AFC Bournemouth
(A)
Liverpool
v
AFC Bournemouth
(A)
Chelsea
Arsenal
v
Brighton & Hove Albion
(A)
Arsenal
v
Brighton & Hove Albion
(A)
Arsenal
v
Brighton & Hove Albion
(A)
Arsenal
v
Brighton & Hove Albion
(A)
Leeds United
v
Crystal Palace
(H)
Leeds United
v
Crystal Palace
(H)
Manchester United
v
Fulham
(A)
Manchester United
v
Fulham
(A)
The percentage is the chance he scores at least once; the shaded bar is its 90% range. Fitted players only, ranked from a pool of 163.
Our record, in the open
Season to date, our weekly top-20 Premier League picks have scored 33.8% of the time, against 28.0% for a naive benchmark — 68 graded picks. Every forecast is frozen before kick-off and never revised.
See every call we've made →Every player. Every fixture. Free.
The full board for all 20 Premier League clubs — plus the Bundesliga, Serie A, La Liga and Ligue 1 — with every player's chance of 0, 1, 2 or 3+ goals.