Joao Pedro 10
Chelsea
· Premier League
Live Predictions
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2026/27
Each forecast frozen before kick-off5
matches played
6
goals
80%
scored in 4 of 5
32%
our average call, same matches
1
named, did not play
Matchday 7 ·
Everton (A)
38% to score
90% range 32–45%
Everton (A)
38% to score
90% range 32–45%
Limited Access: You're viewing only the most recent season.
Sign up for free to access all historical seasons and credible intervals.
Scoring Probabilities
This season: each forecast is the one published before kick-off, frozen — never refitted after the result.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened8 matches.
MD8
Tottenham Hotspur (H)
2026/27 · Premier League
50%
upcoming
MD7
Everton (A)
2026/27 · Premier League
38%
upcoming
MD6
AFC Bournemouth (H)
2026/27 · Premier League
39%
⚽ 2
MD5
Brentford (A)
2026/27 · Premier League
33%
DNP
MD4
Hull City (H)
2026/27 · Premier League
37%
⚽ 1
MD3
Arsenal (A)
2026/27 · Premier League
28%
no goal
MD2
Brighton & Hove Albion (H)
2026/27 · Premier League
36%
⚽ 2
MD1
Fulham (A)
2026/27 · Premier League
21%
⚽ 1
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|