Preview Serie A

SFM Preview

Friday, October 17, 2025

SFM Preview

⚽️It’s Friday! And that means, a weekend full of European soccer ahead!

After a week in which players were off to their national teams, the European leagues resume their regular operations with some top matches coming up on Saturday!

🇩🇪 Bundesliga

In the Bundesliga, first placed, FC Bayern München, is facing long-time rival Borussia Dortmund.

The SFM puts the median probability of Bayern’s Harry Kane scoring 1 goal at around 37%, while it assigns only about 23% to Dortmund’s top scorer, Serhou Guirassy, to find the back of the net at least once.

🇮🇹 Serie A

In Italy, the match of the weekend will take place in Rome: second placed AS Roma hosts FC Internazionale Milano.

Roma’s Paulo Dybala has not had the luck on his side yet this season. However, the SFM puts the odds of him scoring at least once, higher than Inter’s playmaker Lautaro Martinez!

The “lucky third” after that matchday could be the reigning champion SSC Napoli! Currently placed again at the top of the ladder, Antonio Conte and his team travel all the way up north to face 16th placed Torino.

The SFM, however, sets the median probability of the Neapolitains’ current marquee forward, Rasmus Hoejlund, to travel back home without a goal at about 73%!

SFM Coverage

These are just a few examples.

Further SFM Resources

Link to the Paper: Unveiling True Talent.

Link to the Dashboard: Skill- & Performance-Above-Replacement.

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