Recap Premier League

SFM Recap & Preview Tuesday! πŸŽ†

Tuesday, December 30, 2025

SFM Recap & Preview Tuesday! πŸŽ†

πŸ“ SFM Recap & Preview Tuesday! πŸŽ†

The weekend is over and that means: Recap Tuesday! How did the SFM’s predictions fare?

But today, it is also Preview Tuesday, as the Premier League doesn’t take a breather!

πŸ‘‰ Check out the website: https://soccerfactormodel.com/

πŸ“ Recap of Friday’s Preview

  1. Erling Haaland – Manchester City
    Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
    ~ 55%
    Starting XI:
    yes
    Goals Scored:
    0
  2. Mohamed Salah – Liverpool FC:

    πŸ‘‰ He has actually been off to represent Egypt at the Africa Cup.

  3. Cody Gakpo – Liverpool FC:
    Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
    ~ 39%
    Starting XI:
    no
    Substituted in:
    Minute 86’
    Goals Scored:
    0
  4. Hugo Ekitike – Liverpool FC:
    Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
    ~ 38%
    Starting XI:
    yes
    Goals Scored:
    0
  5. Florian Wirtz – Liverpool FC:
    Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
    ~ 36%
    Starting XI:
    yes
    Goals Scored:
    1

πŸ₯… Preview Tuesday

We’ll end the old year and start the new one with the Premier League! The Top 5 most likely players – to actually play – and score at least one goal in the upcoming fixtures are:

  1. Erling Haaland – Manchester City: ~ 53%
  2. Benjamin Sesko – Manchester United: ~ 39%
  3. Joshua Zirkzee – Manchester United: ~ 38%
  4. Manuel Ugarte – Manchester United: ~ 36%
  5. Cody Gakpo – Liverpool FC: ~ 35%

    πŸ‘‰ The field is clearly dominated by ManU – the opponent are the still winless Wolves...

Further SFM Resources

Link to the Paper: Unveiling True Talent.

Link to the Dashboard: Skill- & Performance-Above-Replacement.

#socceranalytics #pymc #sportsanalytics #bayesian #statistics #soccer #football #prediction #forecasting #sfm #factormodels #alpha


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