The weekend is over, which means: Recap Tuesday! But the Premier League and Serie A feel like squeezing in another 10 games each, in between the usual weekend schedule. That means: it is also Preview Tuesday!
So how did the Soccer Factor Model (SFM) fare over the weekend, and what are the predictions for the upcoming weekday games?
👉 To see the full picture, check out the website: https://soccerfactormodel.com/
📝 Recap of Friday’s Preview
- Erling Haaland – Manchester City
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 61%
- Starting XI:
- yes
- Goals Scored:
- 0
👉 We mentioned the 20% probability of scoring 2 goals: that was obviously the wrong bet!
- Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Olympique Marseille:
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 58%
- Starting XI:
- yes
- Goals Scored:
- 0
- Robert Lewandowski – FC Barcelona:
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 44%
- Starting XI:
- no
- Substituted in:
- Minute 64’
- Goals Scored:
- 1
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia – PSG:
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 38%
- Starting XI:
- no
- Substituted in:
- no
- Goals Scored:
- 0
- Donyell Malen – Aston Villa:
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 36%
- Starting XI:
- no
- Substituted in:
- Minute 83’
- Goals Scored:
- 0
🥅 Preview Tuesday
Top 5 Premier League and Serie A players with highest median probability of scoring at least one goal:
- Erling Haaland – Manchester City: ~ 62% ( 👉 Goals 2: ~ 20%)
- Romelu Lukaku – SSC Napoli: ~ 43%
- Ciro Immobile – FC Bologna: ~ 42%
- Rasmus Hoejlund – SSC Napoli: ~ 39%
- Beto – Everton FC: ~ 39%
Further SFM Resources
Link to the Paper: Unveiling True Talent.
Link to the Dashboard: Skill- & Performance-Above-Replacement.
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