Preview Serie A

SFM Preview Tuesday

Tuesday, January 13, 2026

SFM Preview Tuesday

Even though it’s only Tuesday, there are already a couple of games upcoming before the weekend: the Bundesliga ends the first half of the season with the 17th game day, and the Serie A awaits with four rescheduled games on Wednesday and Thursday.

Curious about the Soccer Factor Model’s (SFM) projections for the upcoming games?

👉 Head over to our new website, with many more data-driven insights than just scoring probabilities: https://www.soccerfactormodel.com

Players with the highest median probability of finding the back of the net at least once:

  1. Harry Kane – Bayern München: ~ 47%
  2. Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan: ~ 41%
  3. Romelu Lukaku – SSC Napoli: ~ 38%
  4. Ciro Immobile – Bologna FC: ~ 36%
  5. Marcus Thuram – Inter Milan: ~ 35%

SFM Coverage

If you want to find out more, our new website covers more than 1,000 players across the #premierleague, the #bundesliga, #laliga, #seriea, and #ligue1.

👉 All available at:https://www.soccerfactormodel.com

Further SFM Resources

Link to the Paper: Unveiling True Talent.

Link to the Dashboard: Skill- & Performance-Above-Replacement.

#socceranalytics #pymc #sportsanalytics #bayesian #statistics #soccer #football #prediction #forecasting #sfm #factormodels #alpha


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