It’s Friday again, and plenty of games in Europe’s Top 5 leagues ahead this weekend!
Curious about the Soccer Factor Model’s (SFM) projections for the upcoming games?
👉 Head over to our new website, with many more data-driven insights than just scoring probabilities: https://www.soccerfactormodel.com
But first, let’s revisit the SFM’s predictions for the Top 5 players with the highest median probability of scoring at least one goal, which we highlighted on Tuesday.
👉 Spoiler: not a pretty picture....
📝 Recap of Tuesday’s Preview
- Harry Kane – Bayern München
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 47%
- Starting XI:
- yes
- Goals Scored:
- 0
- Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan:
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 41%
- Starting XI:
- no
- Substituted in:
- Minute 72’
- Goals Scored:
- 0
- Romelu Lukaku – SSC Napoli:
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 38%
- Starting XI:
- no
- Substituted in:
- no
- Goals Scored:
- 0
- Ciro Immobile – Bologna FC:
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 36%
- Starting XI:
- no
- Substituted in:
- Minute 66’
- Goals Scored:
- 0
- Marcus Thuram – Inter Milan:
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 35%
- Starting XI:
- yes
- Goals Scored:
- 0
🥅 Preview Friday
Players with the highest median probability of finding the back of the net at least once:
- Kylian Mbappe – Real Madrid: ~ 60%
- Erling Haaland – Manchester City: ~ 46%
- Harry Kane – Bayern München: ~ 44%
- Robert Lewandowski – FC Barcelona: ~ 43%
- Mohamed Salah – Liverpool FC: ~ 42%
Further SFM Resources
Link to the Paper: Unveiling True Talent.
Link to the Dashboard: Skill- & Performance-Above-Replacement.
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