The weekend is over, results are (almost all) in. As the Serie A has still one match scheduled tonight to complete the 23rd gameday of the season, the Soccer Factor Model’s (SFM) predictions will be posted on the website on Wednesday: https://www.soccerfactormodel.com
Still: time to revisit the SFM’s projections for last weekend’s games!
📝 Recap of Friday’s Preview – Games
A little different from the previous editions: today we will focus on the entire match outcomes, as we had, in particular, three games in the spotlight last Friday.
Como 1907vs.
Atalanta Bergamo
- 📣 SFM Outlook
- Como 1907 ~ Atalanta Bergamo
- 👉 Final Result
- 0:0
Olympique Lyonvs.
OSC Lille
- 📣 SFM Outlook
- Olympique Lyon > OSC Lille
- 👉 Final Result
- 1:0
Racing Straßbourgvs
Paris Saint Germain
- 📣 SFM Outlook
- Racing Straßbourg ~ PSG
- 👉 Final Result
- 1:2
📝 Recap of Friday’s Preview – Players
None of the players that we had in the spotlight, as shown in the table below, actually scored. Nonetheless, players were not selected because of a high likelihood of scoring, but were rather chosen in the context of the matches we had in the spotlight.
The player with the highest odds in our selection, Gianluca Scamacca, despite having been the starting forward, spent a whole 18 minutes on the pitch before being forced to leave.
Second- and third-placed Goncalo Ramos and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, were not given any minutes at all against Straßbourg.
🥅 Preview: Games
As there is still one game to go tonight, let’s make a little preview.
Bologna FCvs.
AC Milan
👉 The SFM has the odds rather evenly distributed with a few players still standing slightly out.
For Bologna, it is actually Thijs Dalligna, who is given the highest odds of finding the back of the net at least once, despite having scored only a single goal in 16 appearances this season! Top scorer Riccardo Orsolini’s odds are a staggering 10 percentage points lower!
For Milan, it is the former Red Bull Leipzig forward Christopher Nkunku and the recently signed German international Niclas Füllkrug who are the most likely candidates to score at least once, with median probabilities ranging in the low 20s nonetheless.
📣 SFM Outlook: Bologna FC ~ AC Milan
Further SFM Resources
Link to the Paper: Unveiling True Talent.
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