Recap Mixed / Multi-league

SFM Recap Tuesday

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

SFM Recap Tuesday

How did the Soccer Factor Model (SFM) fare over the weekend? Time to take stock!

With the final round of qualifiers for the Fifa World Cup 2026 upcoming this week, the national leagues take a break. We’ll thus be back next week with the usual Preview Friday – with a couple of exciting matches on the schedule!

👉 To find out more, head over to our website: https://www.soccerfactormodel.com

📝 Recap – Players:

Kylian Mbappe – Real Madrid:

Probability of Scoring at least one goal
~ 57%
Starting XI
no
Substituted in
Minute 64’
Goals Scored
0

Amine Gouiri – Olympique Marseille:

Probability of Scoring at least one goal
~ 30%
Starting XI
no
Substituted in
Minute 65’
Goals Scored
0

Jamie Vardy – US Cremonese:

Probability of Scoring at least one goal
~ 27%
Starting XI
no
Substituted in
Minute 67’
Goals Scored
0
  1. Mason Greenwood – Olympique Marseille:
    Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
    ~ 24%
    Starting XI:
    yes
    Goals Scored:
    0
  2. Antoine Griezmann – Atletico Madrid:
    Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
    ~ 20%
    Starting XI:
    yes
    Goals Scored:
    0

📝 Recap – Matches


Real Madridvs.Atletico Madrid

📣 SFM Outlook
Real > Atletico
📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
Real > Atletico
⚽ Result
3:2

Olympique Marseillevs.OSC Lille

📣 SFM Outlook
OM > Lille
📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
OM > Lille
⚽ Result
1:2

FC Parmavs.US Cremonese

📣 SFM Outlook
Parma ~ Cremonese
📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
Parma > Cremonese
⚽ Result
0:2

Further SFM Resources

Link to the Paper: Unveiling True Talent.

#socceranalytics #pymc #sportsanalytics #bayesian #statistics #soccer #football #prediction #forecasting #sfm #factormodels #alpha #assetpricing


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