The weekend is over, and we have the first champion of the 2025/26 season in Europe’s Top 5 league: with 4 games still outstanding, the FC Bayern München won the Bundesliga for the 35th time!
In other leagues, however, it is not as boring as in the Bundesliga: this weekend’s results have actually tightened the race for the title in both the Premier League and the Ligue 1, as the respective leaders have both lost their high stakes games!
As La Liga has a regularly scheduled matchday this week, and others have some rescheduled matches taking place, we will first take stock of the Soccer Factor Model’s (SFM) predictions that we highlighted last Friday and take a look at some of the upcoming matches.
Follow the SFM
🌍 On our website: https://www.soccerfactormodel.com
📱 On our app (only Apple iPhone): https://apps.apple.com/app/id6758757755
📝 Recap – Players
- Erling Haaland – Manchester City
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 53%
- Goals Scored:
- 1
- Cole Palmer – Chelsea FC
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 29%
- Goals Scored:
- 0
- Benjamin Sesko – Manchester United
- Probability of Scoring at least one goal:
- ~ 28%
- Goals Scored:
- 0
📝 Recap – Matches
Manchester Cityvs.
FC Arsenal London
- 📣 SFM Outlook
- City ~ Arsenal
- 📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
- City > Arsenal
- ⚽ Result
- 2:1
Paris Saint-Germainvs.
Olympique Lyon
- 📣 SFM Outlook
- PSG > OL
- 📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
- PSG > OL
- ⚽ Result
- 1:2
Chelsea FCvs.
Manchester United
- 📣 SFM Outlook
- Chelsea ~ ManU
- 📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
- Chelsea > ManU
- ⚽ Result
- 0:1
🥅 Preview – Matches
Paris Saint-Germainvs.
FC Nantes
In an upset win, OL took all three points at Parc des Princes, allowing second-placed RC Lens to shrink the gap to leading PSG to just 1 (!) point – though, PSG has still one re-scheduled match left outstanding against second-to-last FC Nantes ... at home!
🤓 As anyone would expect, the odds couldn’t be stacked more clearly in favor of the reigning French and European Champion PSG.
- 📣 SFM Outlook
- PSG > Nantes
- 📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
- PSG > Nantes
Real Sociedad San Sebastiánvs.
FC Getafe
It was only 13 seconds into the game when Ander Barrenetxea gave Real Sociedad the lead over Atletico Madrid in the final of the Copa del Rey at the weekend – none of Atletico’s players had even touched the ball and Real Sociedad went on to later lift the King’s Cup. Now, it’s back to mundane business as usual, though not less important: both Real Sociedad and Getafe are in fierce competition for next season’s international seats.
🤓 Overall, the SFM sees a slight edge for the Basques, as it all boils down to the home pitch factor and players’ individual skill.
- 📣 SFM Outlook
- Real Sociedad > Getafe
- 📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
- Real Sociedad > Getafe
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