Abel Hernandez

Hull City · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2016/17
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
24
matches played
4
goals
12%
scored in 3 of 24
16%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 24 shown.

MD36
Sunderland
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
MD34
FC Watford
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD33
Stoke City
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD32
Manchester City
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD31
FC Middlesbrough
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
18%
⚽ 1
MD30
West Ham United
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD29
Everton
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD28
Swansea City
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD27
Leicester City
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD26
Burnley
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD24
Liverpool
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD23
Manchester United
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD22
Chelsea
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD21
AFC Bournemouth
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
16%
⚽ 2
MD11
Southampton
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD10
FC Watford
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD09
Stoke City
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD07
Chelsea
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD06
Liverpool
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD05
Arsenal
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)