Adam Armstrong
Southampton
· Premier League
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2024/25
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts17
matches played
2
goals
12%
scored in 2 of 17
12%
model fit, same matches
Limited Access: You're viewing only the most recent season.
Sign up for free to access all historical seasons and credible intervals.
Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened17 matches.
MD23
Newcastle United
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD22
Nottingham Forest
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD21
Manchester United
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD20
Brentford
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD19
Crystal Palace
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD18
West Ham United
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD17
Fulham
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD16
Tottenham Hotspur
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD15
Aston Villa
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD14
Chelsea
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD13
Brighton & Hove Albion
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD12
Liverpool
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
11%
⚽ 1
MD11
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD10
Everton
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
13%
⚽ 1
MD09
Manchester City
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
6%
no goal
MD07
Arsenal
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
7%
no goal
MD05
Ipswich Town
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|