Alexander Bernhardsson
Holstein Kiel
· Bundesliga
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2024/25
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts19
matches played
7
goals
32%
scored in 6 of 19
19%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened19 matches.
MD34
Borussia Dortmund
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD33
Freiburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
24%
no goal
MD32
Augsburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
⚽ 2
MD31
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
⚽ 1
MD30
RB Leipzig
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
15%
no goal
MD29
FC St. Pauli
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
⚽ 1
MD28
Mainz 05
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
⚽ 1
MD27
Werder Bremen
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
no goal
MD26
1. FC Heidenheim
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
no goal
MD25
VfB Stuttgart
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD18
Hoffenheim
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
22%
no goal
MD17
Borussia Dortmund
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
⚽ 1
MD16
Freiburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
15%
no goal
MD15
Augsburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
no goal
MD14
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
16%
no goal
MD13
RB Leipzig
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
no goal
MD07
Union Berlin
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
no goal
MD02
VfL Wolfsburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
34%
no goal
MD01
Hoffenheim
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
⚽ 1
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|