Barry Hayles

Fulham · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2003/04
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
26
matches played
4
goals
12%
scored in 3 of 26
16%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 26 shown.

MD33
Blackburn Rovers
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD32
Leicester City
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD31
Birmingham City
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD30
Manchester City
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD29
Chelsea
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD28
Leeds United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD26
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD25
Aston Villa
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD23
Tottenham Hotspur
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD22
Newcastle United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD20
FC Middlesbrough
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
12%
⚽ 1
MD19
Aston Villa
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD17
Chelsea
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD16
Leeds United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD15
Bolton Wanderers
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD14
Arsenal
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD13
FC Portsmouth
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD12
Charlton Athletic
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD11
Liverpool
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD10
Newcastle United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)