Carlton Morris

Luton Town · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2023/24
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
38
matches played
11
goals
29%
scored in 11 of 38
23%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 38 shown.

MD38
Fulham
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
28%
⚽ 1
MD37
West Ham United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
24%
no goal
MD36
Everton
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
27%
no goal
MD35
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
22%
⚽ 1
MD34
Brentford
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
29%
no goal
MD33
Manchester City
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD32
AFC Bournemouth
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
27%
⚽ 1
MD31
Arsenal
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD30
Tottenham Hotspur
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD29
Nottingham Forest
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
28%
no goal
MD28
AFC Bournemouth
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
MD28
Crystal Palace
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
MD27
Aston Villa
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
22%
⚽ 1
MD26
Liverpool
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD25
Manchester United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
22%
⚽ 1
MD24
Sheffield United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
29%
⚽ 1
MD23
Newcastle United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
⚽ 1
MD22
Brighton & Hove Albion
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
23%
no goal
MD21
Burnley
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
21%
⚽ 1
MD20
Chelsea
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)