Casemiro

Manchester United · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2025/26
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
34
matches played
9
goals
26%
scored in 9 of 34
11%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 34 shown.

MD37
Nottingham Forest
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD35
Liverpool
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD34
Brentford
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
14%
⚽ 1
MD33
Chelsea
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD32
Leeds United
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
15%
⚽ 1
MD31
AFC Bournemouth
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD30
Aston Villa
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
11%
⚽ 1
MD29
Newcastle United
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
9%
⚽ 1
MD28
Crystal Palace
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD27
Everton
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
8%
no goal
MD26
West Ham United
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD25
Tottenham Hotspur
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD24
Fulham
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
11%
⚽ 1
MD23
Arsenal
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
6%
no goal
MD22
Manchester City
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD21
Burnley
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD20
Leeds United
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD19
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD18
Newcastle United
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD16
AFC Bournemouth
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
12%
⚽ 1
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)