Craig Fagan

Hull City · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2009/10
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
25
matches played
2
goals
8%
scored in 2 of 25
11%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 25 shown.

MD38
Liverpool
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD36
Sunderland
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD35
Birmingham City
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD35
Aston Villa
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD34
Burnley
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD33
Stoke City
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD32
Fulham
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
12%
⚽ 1
MD31
FC Portsmouth
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD30
Arsenal
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD27
West Ham United
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD26
Blackburn Rovers
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD25
Manchester City
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD24
Chelsea
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD23
Manchester United
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
8%
no goal
MD22
Tottenham Hotspur
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD20
Bolton Wanderers
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD19
Manchester United
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
9%
⚽ 1
MD18
Arsenal
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
8%
no goal
MD16
Blackburn Rovers
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD15
Aston Villa
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
8%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)