Damien Francis

FC Watford · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2006/07
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
32
matches played
4
goals
12%
scored in 4 of 32
12%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 32 shown.

MD35
Manchester City
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD34
Blackburn Rovers
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD33
FC Portsmouth
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD32
FC Middlesbrough
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
11%
⚽ 1
MD31
Chelsea
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD29
Charlton Athletic
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
15%
⚽ 1
MD28
Everton
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD27
Wigan Athletic
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD27
West Ham United
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD26
Bolton Wanderers
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD25
Manchester United
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
7%
no goal
MD24
Blackburn Rovers
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD24
Aston Villa
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD22
Fulham
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD20
Arsenal
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD19
Liverpool
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
8%
no goal
MD18
Newcastle United
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD17
FC Reading
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD16
Manchester City
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD15
Sheffield United
2006/07 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)