Dave Kitson

Stoke City · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2009/10
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
18
matches played
3
goals
17%
scored in 3 of 18
18%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

18 matches.

MD36
Chelsea
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD35
Bolton Wanderers
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
21%
⚽ 1
MD34
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD33
Hull City
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
21%
no goal
MD32
West Ham United
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD31
Tottenham Hotspur
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD30
Aston Villa
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD29
Burnley
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD27
FC Portsmouth
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD12
Hull City
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
21%
no goal
MD09
West Ham United
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
24%
no goal
MD08
Everton
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD07
Manchester United
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD06
Bolton Wanderers
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
18%
⚽ 1
MD05
Chelsea
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD04
Sunderland
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
19%
⚽ 1
MD03
Birmingham City
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD01
Burnley
2009/10 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)