Dion Dublin

Aston Villa · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2003/04
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
23
matches played
3
goals
13%
scored in 3 of 23
19%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 23 shown.

MD38
Manchester United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD37
Southampton
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD36
Tottenham Hotspur
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
24%
no goal
MD33
Chelsea
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD32
Bolton Wanderers
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD26
Birmingham City
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD24
Leeds United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
25%
no goal
MD23
Leicester City
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
19%
⚽ 1
MD21
Liverpool
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD20
FC Portsmouth
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
24%
no goal
MD18
Leeds United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD17
Blackburn Rovers
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD16
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
28%
no goal
MD15
Manchester United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD14
Southampton
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
19%
⚽ 1
MD13
Tottenham Hotspur
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD12
FC Middlesbrough
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
23%
no goal
MD11
Newcastle United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
13%
⚽ 1
MD10
Everton
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD07
Chelsea
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)