Duncan Ferguson

Everton · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2005/06
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
27
matches played
2
goals
7%
scored in 2 of 27
18%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 27 shown.

MD38
West Bromwich Albion
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
23%
⚽ 1
MD36
Birmingham City
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD35
Chelsea
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD34
Tottenham Hotspur
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD33
Charlton Athletic
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD32
Sunderland
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
24%
no goal
MD31
Liverpool
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD24
Wigan Athletic
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD23
Arsenal
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD21
Charlton Athletic
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD20
Sunderland
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD18
Aston Villa
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD17
West Ham United
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD16
Manchester United
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD15
Blackburn Rovers
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD13
West Bromwich Albion
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD12
FC Middlesbrough
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
23%
no goal
MD11
Birmingham City
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
21%
no goal
MD10
Chelsea
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD09
Tottenham Hotspur
2005/06 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)