Enner Valencia

Everton · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2016/17
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
24
matches played
3
goals
12%
scored in 3 of 24
13%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 24 shown.

MD38
Arsenal
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD37
FC Watford
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD36
Swansea City
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD35
Chelsea
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD33
Burnley
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD30
Liverpool
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD29
Hull City
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
18%
⚽ 1
MD27
Tottenham Hotspur
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
8%
⚽ 1
MD26
Sunderland
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD25
FC Middlesbrough
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD20
Southampton
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
13%
⚽ 1
MD19
Hull City
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD17
Liverpool
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD16
Arsenal
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD15
FC Watford
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD14
Manchester United
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD13
Southampton
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD12
Swansea City
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD09
Burnley
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD06
AFC Bournemouth
2016/17 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)