Fiete Arp
Holstein Kiel
· Bundesliga
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2024/25
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts20
matches played
2
goals
10%
scored in 2 of 20
12%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened20 matches.
MD32
Augsburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
no goal
MD30
RB Leipzig
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
9%
no goal
MD27
Werder Bremen
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
15%
no goal
MD26
1. FC Heidenheim
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD25
VfB Stuttgart
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD23
Bayer Leverkusen
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
11%
no goal
MD22
Eintracht Frankfurt
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
no goal
MD21
VfL Bochum
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
no goal
MD20
Bayern Munich
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
9%
no goal
MD19
VfL Wolfsburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
12%
no goal
MD18
Hoffenheim
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
16%
no goal
MD17
Borussia Dortmund
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
12%
⚽ 1
MD16
Freiburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
11%
no goal
MD12
FC St. Pauli
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD10
Werder Bremen
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD08
VfB Stuttgart
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
12%
no goal
MD07
Union Berlin
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
15%
no goal
MD06
Bayer Leverkusen
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
9%
⚽ 1
MD05
Eintracht Frankfurt
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
12%
no goal
MD04
VfL Bochum
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
12%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|