Ivan Toney
Brentford
· Premier League
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2023/24
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts17
matches played
4
goals
24%
scored in 4 of 17
21%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened17 matches.
MD38
Newcastle United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
25%
no goal
MD37
AFC Bournemouth
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
MD36
Fulham
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
26%
no goal
MD35
Everton
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD32
Aston Villa
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD31
Brighton & Hove Albion
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
25%
no goal
MD30
Manchester United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
MD29
Burnley
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
25%
no goal
MD28
Arsenal
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD27
Chelsea
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
25%
no goal
MD26
West Ham United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
MD25
Manchester City
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD25
Liverpool
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
20%
⚽ 1
MD24
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
19%
⚽ 1
MD23
Manchester City
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD22
Tottenham Hotspur
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
⚽ 1
MD21
Nottingham Forest
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
23%
⚽ 1
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|