Jacob Brown
Luton Town
· Premier League
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2023/24
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts19
matches played
2
goals
11%
scored in 2 of 19
14%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened19 matches.
MD23
Newcastle United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD20
Chelsea
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD19
Sheffield United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD18
Newcastle United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD16
Manchester City
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD15
Arsenal
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD14
Brentford
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
12%
⚽ 1
MD13
Crystal Palace
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
14%
⚽ 1
MD11
Liverpool
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD10
Aston Villa
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD09
Nottingham Forest
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD08
Tottenham Hotspur
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD07
Burnley
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD07
Everton
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD06
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD05
Fulham
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD04
West Ham United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD03
Chelsea
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD01
Brighton & Hove Albion
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|