Janni Serra
Arminia Bielefeld
· Bundesliga
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2021/22
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts26
matches played
3
goals
12%
scored in 3 of 26
15%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happenedThe 20 most recent of 26 shown.
MD34
RB Leipzig
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
⚽ 1
MD33
VfL Bochum
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD32
Hertha BSC
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
no goal
MD31
1. FC Köln
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD30
Bayern Munich
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD29
VfL Wolfsburg
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD28
VfB Stuttgart
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
no goal
MD24
Bayer Leverkusen
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD23
Union Berlin
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
16%
no goal
MD22
Hoffenheim
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD21
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
⚽ 1
MD20
Eintracht Frankfurt
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
12%
no goal
MD19
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
no goal
MD18
Freiburg
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
12%
no goal
MD17
RB Leipzig
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
⚽ 1
MD16
VfL Bochum
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
16%
no goal
MD15
Hertha BSC
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD13
Bayern Munich
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
9%
no goal
MD11
VfB Stuttgart
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD10
Mainz 05
2021/22 · Bundesliga · model fit
15%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|