Jay Rodriguez
Burnley
· Premier League
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2023/24
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts21
matches played
2
goals
10%
scored in 2 of 21
15%
model fit, same matches
Limited Access: You're viewing only the most recent season.
Sign up for free to access all historical seasons and credible intervals.
Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happenedThe 20 most recent of 21 shown.
MD38
Nottingham Forest
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD33
Brighton & Hove Albion
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD32
Everton
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD31
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD30
Chelsea
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD27
AFC Bournemouth
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD26
Crystal Palace
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD25
Arsenal
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD18
Fulham
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD17
Everton
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD16
Brighton & Hove Albion
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD15
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD14
Sheffield United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
21%
⚽ 1
MD13
West Ham United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
16%
⚽ 1
MD12
Arsenal
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD11
Crystal Palace
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD10
AFC Bournemouth
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD07
Luton Town
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD07
Newcastle United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD06
Manchester United
2023/24 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|