Jhon Duran
Aston Villa
· Premier League
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2024/25
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts20
matches played
7
goals
35%
scored in 7 of 20
25%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened20 matches.
MD23
West Ham United
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
28%
no goal
MD22
Arsenal
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD18
Newcastle United
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
21%
no goal
MD17
Manchester City
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
24%
⚽ 1
MD16
Nottingham Forest
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
20%
⚽ 1
MD15
Southampton
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
29%
⚽ 1
MD14
Brentford
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
26%
no goal
MD13
Chelsea
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD12
Crystal Palace
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
27%
no goal
MD11
Liverpool
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD10
Tottenham Hotspur
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD09
AFC Bournemouth
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
29%
no goal
MD08
Fulham
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
24%
no goal
MD07
Manchester United
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
29%
no goal
MD06
Ipswich Town
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
30%
no goal
MD05
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
36%
⚽ 1
MD04
Everton
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
34%
⚽ 1
MD03
Leicester City
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
24%
⚽ 1
MD02
Arsenal
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
24%
no goal
MD01
West Ham United
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
17%
⚽ 1
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|