Jose Paolo Guerrero

Hamburger SV · Bundesliga
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2011/12
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
23
matches played
6
goals
26%
scored in 6 of 23
20%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 23 shown.

MD34
Augsburg
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
no goal
MD33
Mainz 05
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
25%
no goal
MD24
VfB Stuttgart
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
26%
no goal
MD23
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
no goal
MD22
Werder Bremen
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
28%
no goal
MD21
1. FC Köln
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
23%
⚽ 1
MD20
Bayern Munich
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
no goal
MD19
Hertha BSC
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
22%
no goal
MD18
Borussia Dortmund
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
⚽ 1
MD17
Augsburg
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
25%
⚽ 1
MD16
Mainz 05
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
no goal
MD15
1. FC Nürnberg
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
24%
⚽ 1
MD14
Hannover 96
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD13
Hoffenheim
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
⚽ 1
MD12
Bayer Leverkusen
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
15%
no goal
MD11
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
⚽ 1
MD10
VfL Wolfsburg
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
no goal
MD09
Freiburg
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD08
Schalke 04
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
no goal
MD07
VfB Stuttgart
2011/12 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)