Kevin Davies

Bolton Wanderers · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2011/12
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
31
matches played
6
goals
16%
scored in 5 of 31
14%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 31 shown.

MD38
Stoke City
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
15%
⚽ 1
MD37
West Bromwich Albion
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD36
Sunderland
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
12%
⚽ 2
MD36
Tottenham Hotspur
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD35
Swansea City
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD35
Aston Villa
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD33
Newcastle United
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD32
Fulham
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD31
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
14%
⚽ 1
MD25
Wigan Athletic
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD24
Norwich City
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD23
Arsenal
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD22
Liverpool
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD20
Everton
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD19
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD18
Newcastle United
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD16
Fulham
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD15
Aston Villa
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD14
Tottenham Hotspur
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD13
Everton
2011/12 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)