Lilian Nalis

Leicester City · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2003/04
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
20
matches played
2
goals
10%
scored in 2 of 20
11%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

20 matches.

MD38
Arsenal
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
6%
no goal
MD37
FC Portsmouth
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD35
Manchester City
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD32
Fulham
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD31
Leeds United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD30
Liverpool
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD29
Everton
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD28
Birmingham City
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
7%
no goal
MD26
Tottenham Hotspur
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD25
Bolton Wanderers
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD21
Chelsea
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD10
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD08
Fulham
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD07
Manchester United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD06
Liverpool
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD05
Leeds United
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
14%
⚽ 1
MD04
Aston Villa
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD03
FC Middlesbrough
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD02
Chelsea
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
7%
⚽ 1
MD01
Southampton
2003/04 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)