Lucas Alario
Eintracht Frankfurt
· Bundesliga
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2022/23
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts20
matches played
1
goals
5%
scored in 1 of 20
18%
model fit, same matches
Limited Access: You're viewing only the most recent season.
Sign up for free to access all historical seasons and credible intervals.
Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened20 matches.
MD28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
no goal
MD27
Bayer Leverkusen
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD26
VfL Bochum
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
no goal
MD25
Union Berlin
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD24
VfB Stuttgart
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
no goal
MD22
RB Leipzig
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD21
Werder Bremen
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
22%
no goal
MD20
1. FC Köln
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
16%
no goal
MD19
Hertha BSC
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
22%
no goal
MD17
Freiburg
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD15
Mainz 05
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
16%
no goal
MD14
Hoffenheim
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
no goal
MD13
Augsburg
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD12
Borussia Dortmund
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD10
Bayer Leverkusen
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
⚽ 1
MD09
VfL Bochum
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD06
VfL Wolfsburg
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
no goal
MD04
Werder Bremen
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
no goal
MD03
1. FC Köln
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
no goal
MD02
Hertha BSC
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|