Luke Varney

FC Blackpool · Premier League
Historical Data SAR/PAR
Season 2010/11
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts
30
matches played
5
goals
17%
scored in 5 of 30
18%
model fit, same matches
Scoring Probabilities

Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.

Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened

The 20 most recent of 30 shown.

MD38
Manchester United
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD35
Stoke City
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD34
Newcastle United
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD33
Wigan Athletic
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
21%
no goal
MD32
Arsenal
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD31
Fulham
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD30
Blackburn Rovers
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD28
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD27
Aston Villa
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD25
West Ham United
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
23%
no goal
MD24
Manchester United
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD24
Sunderland
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD23
West Bromwich Albion
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD22
Liverpool
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD22
Birmingham City
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
MD21
Manchester City
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD20
Sunderland
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD17
Stoke City
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD15
Bolton Wanderers
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
18%
⚽ 1
MD14
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2010/11 · Premier League · model fit
24%
⚽ 1
All matches, with the full numbers
Season League GD Team Opponent G0 G1 G2 G3+ Goals
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
Metric Rank Lower (5%) Median Upper (95%)