Lyle Foster
Burnley
· Premier League
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2025/26
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts26
matches played
3
goals
12%
scored in 3 of 26
15%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happenedThe 20 most recent of 26 shown.
MD36
Aston Villa
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD34
Manchester City
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD33
Nottingham Forest
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD31
Fulham
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD30
AFC Bournemouth
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD29
Everton
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD28
Brentford
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD26
Crystal Palace
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD25
West Ham United
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD24
Sunderland
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD23
Tottenham Hotspur
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
16%
⚽ 1
MD22
Liverpool
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD21
Manchester United
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
17%
no goal
MD16
Fulham
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD15
Newcastle United
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD14
Crystal Palace
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD13
Brentford
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD12
Chelsea
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
16%
no goal
MD09
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
15%
⚽ 1
MD07
Aston Villa
2025/26 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|