Marco Asensio
Aston Villa
· Premier League
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2024/25
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts25
matches played
5
goals
16%
scored in 4 of 25
11%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happenedThe 20 most recent of 25 shown.
MD38
Manchester United
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD37
Tottenham Hotspur
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD36
AFC Bournemouth
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD35
Fulham
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD34
Manchester City
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
8%
no goal
MD33
Newcastle United
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD32
Southampton
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD31
Nottingham Forest
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD30
Brighton & Hove Albion
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
8%
⚽ 1
MD29
Liverpool
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
7%
no goal
MD27
Crystal Palace
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
8%
no goal
MD26
Chelsea
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
9%
⚽ 2
MD25
Ipswich Town
2024/25 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD19
Stade Reims
2024/25 · Ligue 1 · model fit
13%
no goal
MD14
Auxerre
2024/25 · Ligue 1 · model fit
11%
no goal
MD12
Toulouse
2024/25 · Ligue 1 · model fit
14%
no goal
MD11
Angers
2024/25 · Ligue 1 · model fit
13%
no goal
MD10
Lens
2024/25 · Ligue 1 · model fit
12%
no goal
MD09
Marseille
2024/25 · Ligue 1 · model fit
10%
no goal
MD08
Strasbourg
2024/25 · Ligue 1 · model fit
14%
⚽ 1
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|