Marco Richter
Mainz 05
· Bundesliga
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2023/24
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts20
matches played
1
goals
5%
scored in 1 of 20
12%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happened20 matches.
MD34
VfL Wolfsburg
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
no goal
MD33
Borussia Dortmund
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
11%
no goal
MD25
Bayern Munich
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
8%
no goal
MD24
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
15%
no goal
MD21
VfB Stuttgart
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
no goal
MD20
Werder Bremen
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
15%
no goal
MD19
Eintracht Frankfurt
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
no goal
MD17
VfL Wolfsburg
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD16
Borussia Dortmund
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
no goal
MD15
1. FC Heidenheim
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
no goal
MD14
1. FC Köln
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
12%
no goal
MD13
Freiburg
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
MD12
Hoffenheim
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
⚽ 1
MD10
RB Leipzig
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
no goal
MD08
Bayern Munich
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
10%
no goal
MD06
Bayer Leverkusen
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
12%
no goal
MD05
Augsburg
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD04
VfB Stuttgart
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
15%
no goal
MD03
Werder Bremen
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
13%
no goal
MD02
Eintracht Frankfurt
2023/24 · Bundesliga · model fit
14%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|