Marcus Ingvartsen
Mainz 05
· Bundesliga
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2022/23
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts28
matches played
10
goals
36%
scored in 10 of 28
23%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happenedThe 20 most recent of 28 shown.
MD34
Borussia Dortmund
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD33
VfB Stuttgart
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
28%
⚽ 1
MD32
Eintracht Frankfurt
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
no goal
MD31
Schalke 04
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
31%
no goal
MD30
VfL Wolfsburg
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
no goal
MD29
Bayern Munich
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
no goal
MD28
1. FC Köln
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
22%
no goal
MD27
Werder Bremen
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
31%
no goal
MD26
RB Leipzig
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
⚽ 1
MD25
Freiburg
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
24%
no goal
MD24
Hertha BSC
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
25%
no goal
MD23
Hoffenheim
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
30%
no goal
MD22
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
28%
⚽ 1
MD21
Bayer Leverkusen
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
20%
⚽ 1
MD20
Augsburg
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
28%
no goal
MD19
Union Berlin
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
⚽ 1
MD18
VfL Bochum
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
30%
no goal
MD17
Borussia Dortmund
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
24%
no goal
MD16
VfB Stuttgart
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
22%
⚽ 1
MD15
Eintracht Frankfurt
2022/23 · Bundesliga · model fit
25%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|