Paul Merson
Aston Villa
· Premier League
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2001/02
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts21
matches played
2
goals
10%
scored in 2 of 21
11%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happenedThe 20 most recent of 21 shown.
MD30
Arsenal
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD29
Blackburn Rovers
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD28
West Ham United
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
14%
no goal
MD26
Chelsea
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
10%
⚽ 1
MD25
Fulham
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
8%
no goal
MD24
Everton
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD23
Charlton Athletic
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
9%
no goal
MD22
Derby County
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD20
Tottenham Hotspur
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
MD19
Liverpool
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD18
Derby County
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD17
Ipswich Town
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD16
West Ham United
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
11%
no goal
MD16
Arsenal
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
7%
⚽ 1
MD15
Leicester City
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
15%
no goal
MD14
Leeds United
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
7%
no goal
MD11
Bolton Wanderers
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD05
Sunderland
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
12%
no goal
MD04
Liverpool
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
10%
no goal
MD03
Manchester United
2001/02 · Premier League · model fit
13%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|