Phil Harres
Holstein Kiel
· Bundesliga
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2024/25
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts26
matches played
8
goals
23%
scored in 6 of 26
20%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happenedThe 20 most recent of 26 shown.
MD34
Borussia Dortmund
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD33
Freiburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
23%
no goal
MD32
Augsburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
no goal
MD31
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
24%
no goal
MD30
RB Leipzig
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
no goal
MD29
FC St. Pauli
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
25%
no goal
MD28
Mainz 05
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
no goal
MD27
Werder Bremen
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
26%
no goal
MD26
1. FC Heidenheim
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
21%
⚽ 1
MD24
Union Berlin
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
no goal
MD23
Bayer Leverkusen
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
19%
no goal
MD22
Eintracht Frankfurt
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
no goal
MD21
VfL Bochum
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
29%
no goal
MD20
Bayern Munich
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
17%
no goal
MD19
VfL Wolfsburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
22%
no goal
MD18
Hoffenheim
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
30%
no goal
MD17
Borussia Dortmund
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
24%
⚽ 1
MD16
Freiburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
18%
⚽ 2
MD15
Augsburg
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
22%
⚽ 2
MD14
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2024/25 · Bundesliga · model fit
16%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|