Shaun Goater
Manchester City
· Premier League
Historical Data
SAR/PAR
Season 2002/03
Model fit, estimated after these results — not forecasts26
matches played
7
goals
23%
scored in 6 of 26
23%
model fit, same matches
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Scoring Probabilities
Earlier seasons: the model's in-sample fit, estimated after those matches were played — not forecasts made before them.
Recent matches
Newest first · chance to score, then what happenedThe 20 most recent of 26 shown.
MD38
Southampton
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
26%
no goal
MD36
West Ham United
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
28%
no goal
MD33
FC Middlesbrough
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
25%
no goal
MD31
Chelsea
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
MD29
Blackburn Rovers
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
20%
no goal
MD27
Manchester United
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
15%
⚽ 1
MD26
West Bromwich Albion
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
29%
no goal
MD25
Fulham
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
26%
no goal
MD24
Newcastle United
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
19%
no goal
MD23
Leeds United
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
24%
⚽ 1
MD20
Aston Villa
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
25%
no goal
MD19
Tottenham Hotspur
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
28%
no goal
MD18
Charlton Athletic
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
22%
no goal
MD17
Sunderland
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
23%
⚽ 1
MD16
Bolton Wanderers
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
32%
no goal
MD15
FC Middlesbrough
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
21%
no goal
MD14
Charlton Athletic
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
31%
no goal
MD13
Manchester United
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
20%
⚽ 2
MD12
West Bromwich Albion
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
22%
⚽ 1
MD11
Birmingham City
2002/03 · Premier League · model fit
18%
no goal
All matches, with the full numbers
| Opponent | G0 | G1 | G2 | G3+ | Goals |
|---|
Skill Analysis (SAR/PAR)
| Metric | Rank | Lower (5%) | Median | Upper (95%) |
|---|