Belgium
World Cup 2026 · Group G · #1 in Champion Odds
Match Forecasts
Fri, Jul 10
Most likely: 1–1
Spain
xG
1.18 · 1.66
Belgium
Win: Spain
27.4%
16.5–40.0
Draw
24.1%
19.7–28.2
Win: Belgium
48.5%
34.4–63.0
Showing the current matchday only.
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Group G
Group G
Current Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Belgium
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 |
Egypt
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 |
Iran
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 |
New Zealand
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
SFMMO Forecast
| Team | Advance | xPTS | xGD |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Egypt
|
100.0%
|
5.0 | 2.0 |
|
Belgium
|
100.0%
|
5.0 | 4.0 |
|
Iran
|
0.0%
|
3.0 | 0.0 |
|
New Zealand
|
0.0%
|
1.0 | -6.0 |
Road to the Title
Reaches Round of 32
100.0%
Reaches Round of 16
100.0%
Reaches quarter-finals
100.0%
Reaches semi-finals
62.4%
Reaches the final
34.7%
Champion
21.0%
▲ 0.7pp
in championship probability since the last forecast
Forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO model. See the full Champion Odds and Group Tables.