England

World Cup 2026 · Group L · #2 in Champion Odds

Match Forecasts

Sat, Jul 11 Most likely: 0–1

Norway

xG 0.86 · 1.80

England

Win: Norway

17.9%

10.0–27.5

Draw

22.9%

16.8–28.7

Win: England

59.2%

45.6–72.7

Group L

Group L

Current Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	5	4	1	0	6	13
2	Croatia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
3	Ghana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	-4	0

SFMMO Forecast

Team	Advance	xPTS	xGD
Ghana	100.0%	4.0	0.0
Croatia	100.0%	6.0	0.0
England	100.0%	7.0	4.0
Panama	0.0%	0.0	-4.0

Road to the Title

Forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO model. See the full Champion Odds and Group Tables.