England

World Cup 2026 · Group L · #4 in Champion Odds

Match Forecasts

Sat, Jul 18 Most likely: 1–0

France

xG 1.15 · 0.99

England

Win: France

39.4%

27.8–52.2

Draw

29.4%

24.9–34.2

Win: England

31.2%

21.0–42.4

Group L

Group L

Current Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	7	5	1	1	6	16
2	Croatia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
3	Ghana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	-4	0

SFMMO Forecast

Team	Advance	xPTS	xGD
Ghana	100.0%	4.0	0.0
Croatia	100.0%	6.0	0.0
England	100.0%	7.0	4.0
Panama	0.0%	0.0	-4.0

Road to the Title

Forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO model. See the full Champion Odds and Group Tables.