France

World Cup 2026 · Group I · #3 in Champion Odds

Match Forecasts

Sat, Jul 18 Most likely: 1–0

France

xG 1.15 · 0.99

England

Win: France

39.4%

27.8–52.2

Draw

29.4%

24.9–34.2

Win: England

31.2%

21.0–42.4

Group I

Group I

Current Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	7	6	0	1	12	18
2	Norway	6	4	0	2	2	12
3	Senegal	4	1	0	3	1	3
4	Iraq	3	0	0	3	-11	0

SFMMO Forecast

Team	Advance	xPTS	xGD
Norway	100.0%	6.0	1.0
France	100.0%	9.0	8.0
Senegal	100.0%	3.0	2.0
Iraq	0.0%	0.0	-11.0

Road to the Title

Forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO model. See the full Champion Odds and Group Tables.