France

World Cup 2026 · Group I · #3 in Champion Odds

Match Forecasts

Thu, Jul 9 Most likely: 1–0

France

xG 1.29 · 0.81

Morocco

Win: France

47.5%

34.8–60.7

Draw

28.9%

23.4–34.4

Win: Morocco

23.6%

14.8–33.8

Group I

Group I

Current Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	5	5	0	0	12	15
2	Norway	5	4	0	1	3	12
3	Senegal	4	1	0	3	1	3
4	Iraq	3	0	0	3	-11	0

SFMMO Forecast

Team	Advance	xPTS	xGD
France	100.0%	9.0	8.0
Senegal	100.0%	3.0	2.0
Norway	100.0%	6.0	1.0
Iraq	0.0%	0.0	-11.0

Road to the Title

Forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO model. See the full Champion Odds and Group Tables.