United States
World Cup 2026 · Group D · #37 in Champion Odds
Match Forecasts
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Group D
Group D
Current Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
United States
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Paraguay
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 3 |
Australia
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |
Türkiye
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
SFMMO Forecast
| Team | Advance | xPTS | xGD |
|---|---|---|---|
|
United States
|
100.0%
|
6.0 | 4.0 |
|
Paraguay
|
100.0%
|
4.0 | -2.0 |
|
Australia
|
100.0%
|
4.0 | 0.0 |
|
Türkiye
|
0.0%
|
3.0 | -2.0 |
Road to the Title
Reaches Round of 32
100.0%
Reaches Round of 16
100.0%
Reaches quarter-finals
0.0%
Reaches semi-finals
0.0%
Reaches the final
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
▼ -0.1pp
in championship probability since the last forecast
Forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO model. See the full Champion Odds and Group Tables.