Argentina
World Cup 2026 · Group J · #2 in Champion Odds
Match Forecasts
Sun, Jul 19
Most likely: 1–0
Spain
xG
1.58 · 0.99
Win: Spain
50.8%
38.0–63.9
Draw
25.2%
20.4–29.7
Win: Argentina
24.0%
14.8–34.9
Showing the current matchday only.
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Group J
Road to the Title
Reaches Round of 32
100.0%
Reaches Round of 16
100.0%
Reaches quarter-finals
100.0%
Reaches semi-finals
100.0%
Reaches the final
100.0%
Champion
34.9%
▲ 16.1pp
in championship probability since the last forecast
Forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO model. See the full Champion Odds and Group Tables.