Spain
World Cup 2026 · Group H · #1 in Champion Odds
Match Forecasts
Sun, Jul 19
Most likely: 1–0
Spain
xG
1.58 · 0.99
Argentina
Win: Spain
50.8%
38.0–63.9
Draw
25.2%
20.4–29.7
Win: Argentina
24.0%
14.8–34.9
Showing the current matchday only.
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Group H
Group H
Current Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spain
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 |
Cape Verde
|
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Uruguay
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 |
Saudi Arabia
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 |
SFMMO Forecast
| Team | Advance | xPTS | xGD |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Spain
|
100.0%
|
7.0 | 5.0 |
|
Cape Verde
|
100.0%
|
3.0 | 0.0 |
|
Saudi Arabia
|
0.0%
|
2.0 | -4.0 |
|
Uruguay
|
0.0%
|
2.0 | -1.0 |
Road to the Title
Reaches Round of 32
100.0%
Reaches Round of 16
100.0%
Reaches quarter-finals
100.0%
Reaches semi-finals
100.0%
Reaches the final
100.0%
Champion
65.1%
▲ 42.7pp
in championship probability since the last forecast
Forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO model. See the full Champion Odds and Group Tables.