Spain
World Cup 2026 · Group H · #5 in Champion Odds
Match Forecasts
Fri, Jul 10
Most likely: 1–1
Spain
xG
1.18 · 1.66
Belgium
Win: Spain
27.4%
16.5–40.0
Draw
24.1%
19.7–28.2
Win: Belgium
48.5%
34.4–63.0
Showing the current matchday only.
Log in to see Spain's forecasts for every matchday.
Group H
Group H
Current Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spain
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 |
Cape Verde
|
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Uruguay
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 |
Saudi Arabia
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 |
SFMMO Forecast
| Team | Advance | xPTS | xGD |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Spain
|
100.0%
|
7.0 | 5.0 |
|
Cape Verde
|
100.0%
|
3.0 | 0.0 |
|
Saudi Arabia
|
0.0%
|
2.0 | -4.0 |
|
Uruguay
|
0.0%
|
2.0 | -1.0 |
Road to the Title
Reaches Round of 32
100.0%
Reaches Round of 16
100.0%
Reaches quarter-finals
100.0%
Reaches semi-finals
37.6%
Reaches the final
18.1%
Champion
9.7%
▲ 4.4pp
in championship probability since the last forecast
Forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO model. See the full Champion Odds and Group Tables.