The weekend is over and results are in. Time to revisit the calls that the Soccer Factor Model for Match Outcomes (SFMMO) had made for all the matches across Europe’s Top 5 leagues over weekend!
🤫 As the receipts are in, so are also the predictions for the upcoming matches for the coming weekend already now!
📝 Recap – Matches
PSGvs.
Monaco
Almost all match stats (xG: 2.3 vs. 0.5; Shots on Goal: 23 vs. 4; Crosses: 13 vs. 4; Successful Dribblings: 9 vs. 13) pointed towards a win for PSG. In the end it was Monaco who took the three points and made PSG still wait for their first win in the 2026/27 season.
🤓 SFMMO: Who was projected to win?
- 📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
- PSG > Monaco
- ⚽ Result
- 1:2
🏃 SFM: Players, most likely to score – and how many goals did they actually score?
PSG: Ferran Torres (36% - 0), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (21% - 0); Monaco: Florian Balogun (19% - 0).
Intervs.
Napoli
What a match in San Siro. The reigning Champion came back from a 0:2 down, as Lautaro Martinez stepped up with two goals – among them the winner in the second minute of stoppage time – leading Inter to bring down Napoli.
🤓 SFMMO: Who was projected to win?
- 📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
- Inter > Napoli
- ⚽ Result
- 2:1
🏃 SFM: Players, most likely to score – and how many goals did they actually score?
Inter: Hakan Calhanoglu (34% - 0), Francesco Esposito (28% - 0), Lautaro Martinez (26% - 2); Napoli: Rasmus Hoejlund (24% - 1)
Arsenalvs.
Chelsea
Haven’t we speculated in Friday’s preview about the beginning of a trend for Villa in case of losing to the Gunners ...?
🤓 SFMMO: Who was projected to win?
- 📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
- Arsenal > Chelsea
- ⚽ Result
- 2:1
🏃 SFM: Players, most likely to score – and how many goals did they actually score?
Arsenal: Bukayo Saka (47% - 0), Kai Havertz (43% - 1); Chelsea: Joao Pedro (28% - 0), Cole Palmer (28% - 0).
Schalkevs.
Bayern
Lloris Karius, Schalke’s hero. No Schützenfest, as Karius was just too strong for Bayern’s offensive line. The way he denied Harry Kane his first goal of the season in the 87th minute – world class.
🤓 SFMMO: Who was projected to win?
- 📚 Bookmakers’ Outlook
- Schalke < Bayern
- ⚽ Result
- 0:0
🏃 SFM: Players, most likely to score – and how many goals did they actually score?
Schalke: Edin Dzeko (15% - 0); Bayern: Luis Diaz (36% - 0), Michael Olise (33% - 0), Harry Kane (32% - 0).
📈 SFMMO – The Receipts
So far this season, the SFMMO has been scored on 144 matches out of which it called 74 results correctly, giving it an overall accuracy of 51.4% – a drop of about 4 percentage points relative to last week. But who could have foreseen Betis winning, PSG losing, and Bayern drawing?!
🤓 For the geeks: a detailed overview of all our calls on a match-by-match basis can be found on our website: https://www.soccerfactormodel.com/matches/all-leagues/validation
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