World Cup 2026 — Group Tables

Current standings alongside the SFMMO advancement forecast.

Showing the forecast exactly as it stood before this matchday — the receipts. 🧾
How to read these tables
  • Current Standings — actual results (P / W / D / L / GD / Pts). Empty until the group stage kicks off.
  • SFMMO ForecastAdvance = probability of reaching the knockouts · xPTS = expected points · xGD = expected goal difference.
  • Each group sends 2–3 teams through (the top two, plus the eight best third-placed across all groups), so a group's advancement probabilities sum to roughly 2.7, not 1.
  • All forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO group-stage simulation.

Group A

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Mexico 1100 23
2 South Korea 1100 13
3 Czechia 1001 -10
4 South Africa 1001 -20
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Mexico
94.6%
5.6 1.8
South Korea
94.5%
6.0 1.4
Czechia
68.9%
3.5 0.2
South Africa
21.5%
1.8 -3.5

Group B

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Switzerland 1010 01
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1010 01
3 Canada 1010 01
4 Qatar 1010 01
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Switzerland
84.9%
4.8 1.7
Bosnia & Herzegovina
66.0%
3.6 -0.2
Canada
62.8%
3.5 -0.4
Qatar
51.4%
3.1 -1.1

Group C

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Scotland 1100 13
2 Brazil 1010 01
3 Morocco 1010 01
4 Haiti 1001 -10
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Brazil
93.3%
5.5 2.9
Morocco
87.2%
5.0 1.8
Scotland
74.3%
4.4 -1.1
Haiti
15.0%
1.2 -3.6

Group D

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 United States 1100 33
2 Australia 1100 23
3 Türkiye 1001 -20
4 Paraguay 1001 -30
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Australia
96.3%
6.1 2.5
United States
93.6%
5.2 2.1
Türkiye
60.9%
3.5 -0.8
Paraguay
27.9%
2.3 -3.8

Group E

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Germany 1100 63
2 Ivory Coast 1100 13
3 Ecuador 1001 -10
4 Curaçao 1001 -60
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Germany
99.9%
7.7 9.6
Ivory Coast
68.0%
4.2 -2.2
Ecuador
50.8%
2.6 -1.3
Curaçao
31.1%
2.7 -6.1

Group F

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Sweden 1100 43
2 Netherlands 1010 01
3 Japan 1010 01
4 Tunisia 1001 -40
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Sweden
96.4%
5.3 3.3
Netherlands
87.1%
4.9 1.9
Japan
84.2%
4.7 1.3
Tunisia
10.6%
1.3 -6.4

Group G

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Iran 1010 01
2 New Zealand 1010 01
3 Belgium 1010 01
4 Egypt 1010 01
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Belgium
96.5%
5.8 3.7
Iran
72.0%
3.7 -0.1
Egypt
48.4%
2.9 -1.3
New Zealand
47.8%
2.8 -2.3

Group H

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Uruguay 1010 01
2 Saudi Arabia 1010 01
3 Spain 1010 01
4 Cape Verde 1010 01
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Spain
85.5%
4.9 1.8
Uruguay
80.8%
4.3 0.9
Saudi Arabia
65.0%
3.5 -0.5
Cape Verde
35.0%
2.5 -2.2

Group I

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Norway 1100 33
2 France 1100 23
3 Senegal 1001 -20
4 Iraq 1001 -30
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
France
99.5%
7.3 4.4
Norway
95.2%
5.3 2.2
Senegal
45.2%
2.7 -2.1
Iraq
19.8%
1.7 -4.5

Group J

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Argentina 1100 33
2 Austria 1100 23
3 Jordan 1001 -20
4 Algeria 1001 -30
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Argentina
99.7%
7.4 5.6
Austria
91.4%
5.3 1.3
Algeria
36.0%
2.4 -3.6
Jordan
33.4%
2.1 -3.3

Group K

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Colombia 1100 23
2 Portugal 1010 01
3 DR Congo 1010 01
4 Uzbekistan 1001 -20
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Portugal
91.0%
5.3 2.6
Colombia
90.6%
5.3 1.2
DR Congo
59.0%
3.4 -0.5
Uzbekistan
29.9%
2.1 -3.3

Group L

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 England 1100 23
2 Ghana 1100 13
3 Panama 1001 -10
4 Croatia 1001 -20
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
England
99.6%
7.6 4.8
Croatia
88.1%
4.8 1.4
Ghana
56.5%
3.9 -2.6
Panama
13.1%
1.1 -3.7