World Cup 2026 — Group Tables

Current standings alongside the SFMMO advancement forecast.

Showing the forecast exactly as it stood before this matchday — the receipts. 🧾
How to read these tables
  • Current Standings — actual results (P / W / D / L / GD / Pts). Empty until the group stage kicks off.
  • SFMMO ForecastAdvance = probability of reaching the knockouts · xPTS = expected points · xGD = expected goal difference.
  • Each group sends 2–3 teams through (the top two, plus the eight best third-placed across all groups), so a group's advancement probabilities sum to roughly 2.7, not 1.
  • All forecasts are posterior means from the SFMMO group-stage simulation.

Group A

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Mexico 2200 36
2 South Korea 2101 03
3 Czechia 2011 -11
4 South Africa 2011 -21
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Mexico
100.0%
7.1 2.6
South Korea
85.7%
4.8 0.6
Czechia
45.1%
2.6 -0.6
South Africa
24.3%
2.0 -2.6

Group B

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Canada 2110 64
2 Switzerland 2110 34
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 2011 -31
4 Qatar 2011 -61
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Switzerland
100.0%
5.7 3.5
Canada
100.0%
5.0 5.5
Bosnia & Herzegovina
58.2%
2.9 -2.1
Qatar
21.4%
1.8 -6.9

Group C

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Brazil 2110 34
2 Morocco 2110 14
3 Scotland 2101 03
4 Haiti 2002 -40
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Brazil
100.0%
6.1 4.1
Morocco
100.0%
6.0 1.9
Scotland
73.2%
3.7 -1.1
Haiti
2.6%
0.8 -4.9

Group D

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 United States 2200 56
2 Australia 2101 03
3 Paraguay 2101 -23
4 Türkiye 2002 -30
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
United States
100.0%
6.9 4.2
Australia
85.9%
4.6 0.4
Paraguay
62.0%
4.1 -2.4
Türkiye
28.1%
1.9 -2.2

Group E

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Germany 2200 76
2 Ivory Coast 2101 03
3 Ecuador 2011 -11
4 Curaçao 2011 -61
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Germany
100.0%
7.8 7.7
Ivory Coast
72.2%
4.0 -0.6
Curaçao
51.2%
2.8 -5.4
Ecuador
22.6%
1.9 -1.7

Group F

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Netherlands 2110 44
2 Japan 2110 44
3 Sweden 2101 03
4 Tunisia 2002 -80
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Japan
100.0%
5.7 4.5
Netherlands
100.0%
6.2 5.4
Sweden
91.0%
4.0 -0.5
Tunisia
0.0%
0.6 -9.4

Group G

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Egypt 2110 24
2 Iran 2020 02
3 Belgium 2020 02
4 New Zealand 2011 -21
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Egypt
100.0%
4.6 0.7
Belgium
95.2%
4.6 2.5
Iran
86.7%
4.2 1.3
New Zealand
4.7%
1.2 -4.5

Group H

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Spain 2110 44
2 Uruguay 2020 02
3 Cape Verde 2020 02
4 Saudi Arabia 2011 -41
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Spain
100.0%
5.7 4.5
Cape Verde
51.5%
3.0 -0.5
Uruguay
50.8%
3.0 -0.5
Saudi Arabia
48.1%
2.7 -3.5

Group I

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 France 2200 56
2 Norway 2200 46
3 Senegal 2002 -30
4 Iraq 2002 -60
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Norway
100.0%
6.6 2.8
France
100.0%
8.2 6.2
Senegal
31.2%
1.5 -2.8
Iraq
5.8%
1.2 -6.2

Group J

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Argentina 2200 56
2 Austria 2101 03
3 Algeria 2101 -23
4 Jordan 2002 -30
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Argentina
100.0%
8.1 6.1
Austria
91.0%
4.8 0.7
Algeria
59.5%
4.0 -2.7
Jordan
7.5%
0.7 -4.1

Group K

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 Colombia 2200 36
2 Portugal 2110 54
3 DR Congo 2011 -11
4 Uzbekistan 2002 -70
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
Portugal
100.0%
6.2 6.3
Colombia
100.0%
6.7 1.7
DR Congo
43.2%
2.5 -0.8
Uzbekistan
5.3%
1.2 -7.2

Group L

Current Standings
# Team PWDLGDPts
1 England 2110 24
2 Ghana 2110 14
3 Croatia 2101 -13
4 Panama 2002 -20
SFMMO Forecast
Team Advance xPTS xGD
England
100.0%
6.2 3.2
Ghana
99.9%
4.5 -0.6
Croatia
94.8%
5.3 0.6
Panama
1.4%
0.6 -3.2